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Mayo scoring system for predicting the need for liver transplantation in primary biliary cholangitis

Mayo scoring system for predicting the need for liver transplantation in primary biliary cholangitis
R = [0.871 x loge serum bilirubin (mg/dL)] - [2.53 x loge serum albumin (gm/dL)]
+ [0.039 x age (years)] + [2.38 x loge prothrombin time (seconds)]
+ [0.859 x edema score]
Edema score
0 = no edema
0.5 = diuretic-controlled edema
1.0 = diuretic-resisitant edema
Survival function [S(t)]
1 year = 0.970
2 years = 0.941
3 years = 0.883
4 years = 0.774
5 years = 0.721
6 years = 0.651
Calculated patient survival = S(t)exp(R - 5.07)
Survival probability at one year = 0.970exp(R - 5.07)
Survival probability at three years = 0.883exp(R - 5.07)
Need_for_liver_TPL_in_PBC.htm
Adapted from Dickson, ER, Grambsch, PM, Fleming, TR, et al, Hepatology 1989; 10:1, and Grambsch, PM, Dickson, ER, Kaplan, M, et al, Hepatology 1989; 10:846.
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